Variance Betting Episode 3 | How To Be a Smarter Premier League Bettor
Plus Matchday 4 Picks
Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, explains his best betting practices and discusses his Premier League Matchday 4 picks. Subscribe for more!
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TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 Introduction
1:44 Who is Ted Knutson?
2:20 Working With Pinnacle.com Products
3:26 Working at Brentford/Midtjylland & SmartOdds
4:05 Founding StatsBomb
4:25 Present Day — TheTransferFlow.com
4:58 Variance Betting Principles
5:21 Discount Bookies > Bonuses
8:20 Price Shop
10:37 Working with Models & Knowledge
12:35 Why Early Season is Tricky
13:54 Your Bets are your own
14:47 Market Implied (MI) Model
16:18 Be careful about Promoted Teams
17:18 Expected Goals (xG) Model
18:07 Caveats
21:06 Plugs
20:23 Recreational Sports Betting
22:32 Brighton v Ipswich Bet
23:52 Southampton v Man United Bet
25:11 Crystal Palace v Leicester Bet
26:02 Fulham v West Ham No Bet
26:25 Liverpool v Nottingham Forest Bet
27:25 Man City v Brentford No Bet
28:35 Aston Villa v Everton No Bet
29:46 Bournemouth v Chelsea Bet
31:20 Spurs v Arsenal Bet
32:39 Wolves v Newcastle No Bet
33:31 Recap
33:54 Outro
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