Episode 125 - Arsenal, City & Liverpool | What the Stats Are Really Saying

In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the Premier League’s early season and what it tells us about the top teams. We look at Arsenal versus Man City and explore what we’ve learned from this clash of title contenders. Man City’s performance has been strange so far — what does it mean for the rest of the season? Liverpool’s early season numbers aren’t what we expected, so we dig into what’s really going on there. We also touch on Man United versus Chelsea, as well as a roundup of the other Premier League surprises and takeaways.

Plus, Ted discusses how analytics-minded fans can start a career in football and what beginners often miss when getting started in the game.

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Timestamps:00:00 Intro00:46 Ted’s Liverpool Tweet01:49 Liverpools Performance Metrics02:24 Mo Salah Playing Poorly02:39 Defensive Liverpool Fans03:40 Liverpool Crushing Atletico Madrid05:00 Numbers are Against Liverpool 07:00 Liverpool Can Still Succeed08:30 Ted's Liverpool Transfer Grades9:30 Fans That Don't Get Angry and Takes Criticism 10:37 Transfer Grades and Team Analysis12:00 Ted and Patrick Saving Easy Money for Man U12:44 Hayden’s Transfer Grades13:07 Great Players But Are They The Right Fit?13:30 Transfer Prices Analysis 15:37 Patricks Transfer Grade List15:55 Brighton Team Analysis16:46 Brighton Need New Head Coach17:52 Crystal Palace Performance 21:57 How Players Were Graded in Consultancies 23:00 Arsenal vs Manchester City Analysis24:10 Haajland Like Cristiano Ronaldo 24:45 Marmoush Helping Man City25:00 Half-Time Subs25:30 Arsenal and City Performance Metrics26:45 Pep Guardiola Management Analysis27:40 Bayern and Kompany28:15 Analysing Tactical Adaptations in Football30:40 Gary Neville Criticising Arsenal31:33 Arsenal Rebuilding Squad 32:13 Liverpool Comparison to Arsenal32:41 Media Talking Heads Problem36:16 Fulham team analysis 36:50 Ted’s worry for Brentford 38:30 Brentford players risk elements in team39:20 Fulham, The Good and Bad 40:26 Man U vs. Chelsea41:50 Man U Better Than We Thought42:05 Chelsea Boring 42:00 Chelsea Team and Tactic Problems45:00 Jao Pedro Poor Attacking45:30 Strikers Poorly Playing Lately45:49 How We Graded 47:11 Patrick and Ted on United 48:33 Ted's Thoughts On Man U49:21The Intersection of Data and Tactics in Football51:09 Understanding Football and the Models 54:34 How Ted Knows He's Measuring the Right Data58:09 Seeing What's Missing and Doesn't Exist59:55 How to Get Started and Learn from mistakes 1:02:00 Outro